Authors for this Volume | Introduction | Introduction: the relevance of studying fertility across time and space  | Debate | International political economy and future fertility trends | Moving out the parental home and partnership formation as social determinants of low fertility  | “Catching up with ‘compressed modernity”’ - How the values of Millennials and Gen-Z’ers could reframe gender equity and demographic systems  | Future fertility trends are shaped at the intersection of gender and social stratification | The wish for a child | Fertility will be determined by the changing ideal family size and the empowerment to reach these targets | Marriage will (continue to) be the key to the future of fertility in Japan and East Asia  | Review Article | Ultra-low fertility in East Asia: Confucianism and its discontents | Research Articles | Data &amp; Trends | Laggards in the global fertility transition  | Projecting future births with fertility differentials reflecting women’s educational and migrant characteristics | Selected Wittgenstein Centre databases on fertility across time and space | Decomposing changes in first birth trends: Quantum, timing, or variance | What factors support the early age patterns of fertility in a developing country: the case of Kyrgyzstan | Marital fertility decline and child mortality in the Sardinian longevity Blue Zone | Future orientation and fertility: cross-national evidence using Google search

The 2020 volume brings together many perspectives on the past, present and future of fertility. It covers both countries with very high fertility (research on high-fertility countries in Sub-Saharan Africa by D. Shapiro and A. Hinde) and countries with “ultra-low fertility”, especially in East Asia (S. Fukuda). East Asia is also covered in a review article by Y. A. Cheng, who discusses the impact of the lasting influence of Confucian culture on extreme low fertility in the region. The journal includes contributions on historical fertility declines (work by M. Poulain et al. on Sardinia), as well as articles dealing with recent trends and research presenting fertility projections (article on the European Union by M. Potančoková and G. Marois). While many of the articles are empirically oriented, some have a strong methodological (contribution on first birth trends by R. Mogi and D. del Mundo) or theoretical focus (e.g., research on future orientation and fertility by N. Cavalli). Most of the contributions focus on fertility level, but several shed light on changes in fertility timing (e.g., work by K. Kazenin and V. Kozlov). The authors of the Debate (A. Adsera, A. Esteve et al., S. Gietel-Basten, T. Lappegård, A. Rotkirch, W. Lutz and S. Fukuda) discuss the most important factors likely to influence future fertility trends. Finally, the Data &Trends section (K. Zeman and T. Sobotka) gives a brief overview of selected Wittgenstein Centre databases on fertility across time and space.  

Fertility across time and space

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Kryštof Zeman

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Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2020, Vol. 18